Prophecy × IQ. The intelligent way to forecast what's next.
How Prophiq forecasts the future.
Prophiq has a conversation with you to understand exactly what you are forecasting, then grounds the answer in live data and the agreement of multiple AI models, calibrated against reality.
The foundation underneath every answer.
Prophiq doesn't just ask an AI model a question. Three layers of intelligence feed every forecast, in a process we've refined over thousands of events.
Built and refined over thousands of forecasts, with continuous event discovery, classification, and curation tuned for each domain. Every resolved forecast feeds back into our calibration system.
Real-time feeds from official data providers, government statistical agencies, prediction market platforms, and industry-standard databases. The exact mix depends on the domain, so forecasts always rest on domain-appropriate evidence.
Multiple frontier AI reasoning models analyze the assembled evidence independently. Their outputs are combined via a consensus algorithm so no single model's quirks dominate the answer.
Every forecast shows how it is grounded. When live feed data covers an event - real runners, real tournament fields, real prices - the forecast is built on it directly. When no feed exists, live research grounds it instead. Prophiq never invents a favourite or fakes a number, and when a field is not yet set, it says so.
What Prophiq covers.
Prophiq covers four domains. Each gets data sources specifically relevant to that field, so the underlying evidence is always domain-appropriate rather than generic.
Match outcomes, championship winners, player milestones, tournament progression.
Live data covering horse racing across the UK, Ireland and North America, golf across all the major professional tours, football, and more - real runners, real fields, real competitors as the outcomes.
Elections, leadership changes, policy outcomes, geopolitical events.
Real-time prices from leading prediction market platforms, providing crowd consensus alongside our AI analysis.
Economic indicators, earnings, central bank decisions, macroeconomic releases.
Official government economic data sources covering leading indicators, inflation, employment, interest rates and GDP, plus live market data feeds.
Award winners, release performance, cultural milestones.
Industry-standard entertainment databases and leading music industry data sources for cultural signals.
A four-step pipeline.
Every forecast goes through a four-step process. We don't just ask one AI model and hope for the best.
What makes Prophiq different.
Three reasons Prophiq forecasts differently from asking an AI chatbot "what's the probability of X?"
Most tools take your words literally and guess at the rest. Prophiq talks it through with you - like a sharp analyst would - so the forecast answers the question you actually meant, not a near-miss of it.
Foundation models know what they learned during training, which can be months or years stale. Prophiq queries live data sources at forecast time: real-time prediction market prices, the most recent economic data prints, current sports standings, latest entertainment industry signals. Your forecast reflects the world as it is now, not as it was when the model was trained.
Single-model forecasts are confidently wrong too often. By running the same question through multiple independent frontier AI models, then combining their answers via a consensus algorithm, we surface real signal and dampen individual model quirks. When the models agree, that's meaningful. When they disagree, that disagreement is itself information.
Every forecast is logged. Every resolution is recorded. We compute calibration metrics so the accuracy of Prophiq's forecasts is measurable, not just claimed. Forecasting tools that don't publish their calibration shouldn't be trusted.
Editorial curation, every morning.
Every day at 06:00 UTC, Prophiq selects the six most consequential forecasts across all domains, one per slot. These are the day's headline forecasts, surfaced to all users. Below the headlines, each domain gets a "lead forecast" highlighted on its dedicated page.
Users want curation, not 400 events to sift through. The daily lock is our editorial signal: of everything happening today, here's what's most worth your attention.
Honest expectations.
Honest expectations matter for a forecasting tool. Here's what Prophiq is not.
- We don't predict markets in seconds.This isn't day trading or high-frequency. Our forecasts are for events that resolve over hours, days, or months.
- We don't claim certainty.Every forecast has a confidence range. A 70% forecast means we expect that outcome 70% of the time, not 100%.
- We don't cover every event.We focus on the four domains where structured data exists and where forecasts have meaning. We won't forecast lottery numbers, the weather in five days, or your love life.
- We're not a betting service.We provide calibrated forecasts. What you do with them is your decision.
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